Interactive NWS Alert
valid at 1134 am EDT, Oct 10th 2018
Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 16
National Weather Service
Greenville-Spartanburg SC AL142018
1129 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018
product covers the western Carolinas and NE Georgia
**Michael will bring
heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the western
Carolinas and Northeast
* CHANGES TO WATCHES
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical
Warning for Chester, Laurens, Union, Union, and York
CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for
Elbert, Greenwood, Laurens, Union, Union, and
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 500 miles southwest of Charlotte
NC or about 440 miles
south-southwest of Greenville/Spartanburg SC
- 29.4N 86.0W
- Storm Intensity 145 mph
North-northeast or 15 degrees at 14 mph
Hurricane Michael is forecast to make
landfall as a major hurricane
near Panama City, Florida this afternoon.
Michael is forecast to track
northeastward across Georgia as a Tropical
Storm, with the center of
the circulation likely passing near Augusta,
Georgia and Columbia,
South Carolina tomorrow, then on to near Raleigh, North
Thursday evening. Windy conditions and very heavy rainfall
expected to impact part of the western Carolinas and northeast
as the storm passes just south and east of the area.
greatest threat that Michael will pose for our area currently
appears to be
flash flooding. Based on the most likely track of the
storm, the heaviest
rainfall totals are expected to be along and south
of Interstate 85, with a
secondary maximum along the Blue Ridge
escarpment in North Carolina. The
Charlotte metro area is at
particular risk of flash flooding, due to very
high rainfall rates
developing tomorrow along with excessive urban runoff.
flooded during heavy rainfall last month with Tropical Storm
may flood again during Michael.
Winds will pick up in speed
overnight tonight and peak during the day
tomorrow. A few tropical-storm
force gusts are possible. There is also
a risk of isolated tornadoes in the
lower Piedmont during this time.
Protect against dangerous wind
having possible significant impacts
south and east of I-85. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding
materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds.
A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures.
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees
snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more
in areas with above ground lines.
against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having
extensive impacts across eastern Upstate South Carolina and
North Carolina Piedmont, including Charlotte. Potential impacts
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
runoff may run quickly down valleys while
increasing susceptibility to
rockslides and mudslides. Flood
control systems and barriers may
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge
closures with some weakened or washed out.
Protect against dangerous
rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across
western Upstate South Carolina, northeast
Georgia, and the mountains and
foothills of western North Carolina.
Protect against a
tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the lower Piedmont of
South Carolina and northeast Georgia.
Potential impacts include:
The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience
tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
Elsewhere across the western Carolinas and NE Georgia, little
impact is anticipated.
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, leave with a
destination in mind
and allow extra time to get there. Take your emergency
Gas up your vehicle ahead of time.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
of the storm.
If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to
flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.
There is a threat from
tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings.
Be ready to shelter quickly.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information
on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster
preparedness information see redcross.org
The next local statement will be issued by the
Service in Greenville-Spartanburg SC around 6 PM EDT, or
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